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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+1.01vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.89+1.07vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23+3.40vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.68+5.54vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.66+0.57vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.02vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.38-0.96vs Predicted
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9Vanderbilt University-0.03+0.62vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.38-4.99vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.93-6.91vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.98-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
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3.01University of South Florida3.490.2%1st Place
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4.07Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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7.4University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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10.54The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.57Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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6.98Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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7.04North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.62Vanderbilt University-0.030.0%1st Place
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5.01Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.09University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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10.92Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 27.4% | 25.0% | 18.6% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 23.6% | 22.1% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 13.8% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Barney | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 18.0% | 19.9% | 12.1% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Scott Adams | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 17.3% | 29.1% | 36.4% |
| Edwin Strong | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| John Reddaway | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| David Rogers | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 11.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Adam Kaplon | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 27.9% | 26.8% | 12.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 12.7% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 10.1% | 28.3% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.