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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.41+3.49vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.77+1.96vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University1.59+4.05vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.27+0.70vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+0.20vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.72+8.72vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.38+1.29vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-0.20vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.58+0.89vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-2.47vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+1.34vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69+3.14vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.81-4.36vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University0.74-4.46vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.94+1.23vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon0.11-4.63vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.39-3.25vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.00-2.41vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-1.44-1.75vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-1.06-3.88vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.99-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Stanford University2.4115.4%1st Place
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3.96University of Southern California2.7718.6%1st Place
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7.05San Diego State University1.597.0%1st Place
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4.7University of Hawaii2.2716.0%1st Place
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7.88University of California at Los Angeles1.485.5%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Santa Barbara1.858.6%1st Place
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15.72San Diego State University-0.720.9%1st Place
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9.29University of California at San Diego1.384.1%1st Place
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8.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.2%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Berkeley0.582.4%1st Place
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8.53California Poly Maritime Academy1.204.8%1st Place
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13.34University of California at Los Angeles-0.031.1%1st Place
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16.14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.9%1st Place
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9.64University of Washington0.813.6%1st Place
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10.54Arizona State University0.742.5%1st Place
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17.23University of California at San Diego-0.940.4%1st Place
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12.37University of Oregon0.111.7%1st Place
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14.75Arizona State University-0.391.0%1st Place
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16.59Arizona State University-1.000.4%1st Place
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18.25California State University Channel Islands-1.440.4%1st Place
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17.12California State University Channel Islands-1.060.3%1st Place
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19.52University of California at San Diego-1.990.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lim | 15.4% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 18.6% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 16.0% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Nicoli | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Downey | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 5.5% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 10.4% |
| Emily Avey | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 7.2% |
| Declan Dury | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 19.9% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 8.5% |
| Jessica Dally | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.