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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+1.98vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+0.01vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.38+1.07vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.09vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.66+0.59vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.89-3.01vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.68+2.46vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.38-1.96vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23-2.66vs Predicted
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11Vanderbilt University-0.03-1.27vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.98-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
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3.98University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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3.01University of South Florida3.490.2%1st Place
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5.07Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.09Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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6.59Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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3.99Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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10.46The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.04North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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7.34University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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9.73Vanderbilt University-0.030.0%1st Place
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10.94Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 28.1% | 23.1% | 19.7% | 14.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 13.1% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 24.3% | 23.3% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Edwin Strong | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 14.8% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Adams | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 15.2% | 31.9% | 33.1% |
| David Rogers | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Cole Barney | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 20.4% | 13.2% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Adam Kaplon | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 25.0% | 29.8% | 14.2% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 12.3% | 25.3% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.