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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.03+3.18vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+3.48vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+5.52vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.53+1.50vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.51+3.81vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.12vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University0.53+2.22vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.38+1.44vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.54vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.25+2.49vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-3.19vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University0.29-2.08vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.43-3.21vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.22-3.47vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.41-1.97vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.83-1.77vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.22vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.13-2.49vs Predicted
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19University of Oregon-1.88-1.34vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.53-3.20vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-2.40-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18University of Hawaii2.0320.4%1st Place
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5.48California Poly Maritime Academy1.6212.8%1st Place
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8.52University of California at Santa Barbara0.575.8%1st Place
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5.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.5313.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Washington0.515.4%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.0%1st Place
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9.22San Diego State University0.533.6%1st Place
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9.44University of Southern California0.383.7%1st Place
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10.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.9%1st Place
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12.49University of California at Berkeley-0.252.5%1st Place
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7.81University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.1%1st Place
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9.92San Diego State University0.293.4%1st Place
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9.79University of California at Los Angeles0.433.3%1st Place
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10.53University of California at San Diego0.223.1%1st Place
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13.03Arizona State University-0.411.5%1st Place
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14.23California State University Channel Islands-0.830.9%1st Place
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16.78University of California at San Diego-1.460.6%1st Place
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15.51University of California at San Diego-1.130.5%1st Place
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17.66University of Oregon-1.880.6%1st Place
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16.8Arizona State University-1.530.5%1st Place
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18.89California State University Channel Islands-2.400.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Patton | 20.4% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Austin | 13.1% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 11.3% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 5.2% |
| Katy Priest | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 21.4% | 22.2% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 12.6% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.