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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+1.80vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+5.06vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.490.00vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.66+2.53vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.38+0.09vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23+1.45vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.68+3.40vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.89-3.98vs Predicted
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9Vanderbilt University-0.03+0.63vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.93-6.07vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.38-3.82vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.98-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
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7.06Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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3.0University of South Florida3.490.2%1st Place
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6.53Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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5.09Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.45University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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10.4The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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4.02Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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9.63Vanderbilt University-0.030.0%1st Place
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3.93University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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7.18North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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10.92Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 26.5% | 23.9% | 20.4% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Stocke | 24.1% | 23.1% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Lawless | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cole Barney | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 20.6% | 13.2% | 6.1% | 0.9% |
| Scott Adams | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 15.9% | 30.4% | 34.0% |
| Tony Collins | 14.3% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Kaplon | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 28.1% | 26.0% | 12.8% |
| Matthew Hecht | 13.4% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 10.2% | 26.9% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.