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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.03+3.05vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+4.13vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+2.48vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.53+1.45vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.22+5.52vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.79vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.51+1.68vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.25+4.54vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.38+0.41vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-1.47vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.29-1.14vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.36vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.41-0.11vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.43-4.17vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.83-0.43vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University0.53-6.73vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.53-0.16vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.88-0.37vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-2.40-0.09vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.13-4.66vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.46-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05University of Hawaii2.0319.4%1st Place
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6.13University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.0%1st Place
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5.48California Poly Maritime Academy1.6211.3%1st Place
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5.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.5312.0%1st Place
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10.52University of California at San Diego0.223.0%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Santa Cruz0.866.6%1st Place
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8.68University of Washington0.514.9%1st Place
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12.54University of California at Berkeley-0.251.8%1st Place
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9.41University of Southern California0.384.3%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Santa Barbara0.575.3%1st Place
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9.86San Diego State University0.294.4%1st Place
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10.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.5%1st Place
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12.89Arizona State University-0.411.8%1st Place
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9.83University of California at Los Angeles0.433.4%1st Place
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14.57California State University Channel Islands-0.831.3%1st Place
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9.27San Diego State University0.534.9%1st Place
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16.84Arizona State University-1.530.6%1st Place
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17.63University of Oregon-1.880.4%1st Place
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18.91California State University Channel Islands-2.400.4%1st Place
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15.34University of California at San Diego-1.131.1%1st Place
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16.63University of California at San Diego-1.460.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Patton | 19.4% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Austin | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Edward Ansart | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ian Collignon | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rob Reigelman | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 11.9% |
| Katy Priest | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 21.3% | 20.6% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 45.7% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 5.1% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.