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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.49+2.01vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+2.00vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.65-0.21vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.38+1.08vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.66+1.59vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+1.06vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.89-3.00vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.38-0.99vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.68+1.54vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23-2.69vs Predicted
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11Vanderbilt University-0.03-1.30vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.98-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of South Florida3.490.2%1st Place
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4.0University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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2.79College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
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5.08Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.59Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.06Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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4.0Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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7.01North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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10.54The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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9.7Vanderbilt University-0.030.0%1st Place
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10.91Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stocke | 24.3% | 20.9% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 12.5% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 28.1% | 24.4% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| John Reddaway | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Tony Collins | 14.2% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Scott Adams | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 16.3% | 34.8% | 31.9% |
| Cole Barney | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 19.0% | 14.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Adam Kaplon | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 28.4% | 25.1% | 15.7% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 10.9% | 27.2% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.