← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.54+2.97vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.73+0.18vs Predicted
-
3Rollins College1.27+3.09vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College2.69-0.33vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami0.24+2.96vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida3.15-3.03vs Predicted
-
7The Citadel0.42+0.59vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University1.88-3.03vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-1.82vs Predicted
-
10Vanderbilt University-1.79+0.69vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University-0.70-1.50vs Predicted
-
12Georgia Institute of Technology-2.30-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.97Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
-
2.18College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
-
6.09Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
-
3.67Eckerd College2.690.1%1st Place
-
7.96University of Miami0.240.0%1st Place
-
2.97University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
-
7.59The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
-
4.97Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
-
7.18University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
-
10.69Vanderbilt University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
9.5North Carolina State University-0.700.0%1st Place
-
11.22Georgia Institute of Technology-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Ikeda | 11.7% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 20.9% | 18.5% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 38.7% | 28.4% | 16.9% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 12.3% | 17.2% | 21.2% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Schwarm | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 19.1% | 22.6% | 17.3% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 21.7% | 23.0% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 19.5% | 22.4% | 12.6% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| John Roberts | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 9.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Kristen Morris | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 16.1% | 37.7% | 32.7% |
| Dustin Simons | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 33.0% | 24.0% | 7.1% |
| Will Brazzil | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 8.0% | 25.7% | 58.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.