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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.03+3.26vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.53+3.65vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.14vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University0.29+6.24vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.51+3.78vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.43+3.70vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-1.30vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.25-1.13vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.25+3.87vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-1.24vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.53-1.39vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-4.04vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.41+0.21vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.22-3.49vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.53+1.86vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-5.46vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-0.83-2.36vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.88-0.41vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.46-2.17vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.13-4.59vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-2.40-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26University of Hawaii2.0318.1%1st Place
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5.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.5311.2%1st Place
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6.14University of California at Los Angeles1.309.4%1st Place
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10.24San Diego State University0.293.2%1st Place
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8.78University of Washington0.515.3%1st Place
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9.7University of California at Los Angeles0.433.5%1st Place
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5.7California Poly Maritime Academy1.6211.3%1st Place
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6.87University of Southern California1.258.3%1st Place
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12.87University of California at Berkeley-0.251.9%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Santa Barbara0.575.1%1st Place
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9.61San Diego State University0.533.8%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.866.2%1st Place
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13.21Arizona State University-0.411.8%1st Place
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10.51University of California at San Diego0.223.4%1st Place
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16.86Arizona State University-1.530.7%1st Place
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10.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.5%1st Place
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14.64California State University Channel Islands-0.831.2%1st Place
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17.59University of Oregon-1.880.4%1st Place
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16.83University of California at San Diego-1.460.4%1st Place
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15.41University of California at San Diego-1.130.9%1st Place
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18.89California State University Channel Islands-2.400.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Patton | 18.1% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Austin | 11.2% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Clay Myers | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| harriet jessup | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 12.7% |
| Florence Duff | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rob Reigelman | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Katy Priest | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 21.9% | 20.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 11.8% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 5.8% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 19.4% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.