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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.73+1.23vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.54+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15-0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.24+3.99vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.42+2.64vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.69-2.32vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.88-2.01vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-0.84vs Predicted
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9Vanderbilt University-1.79+1.74vs Predicted
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10Rollins College1.27-3.98vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.70-1.55vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-2.30-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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3.94Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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2.95University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
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7.99University of Miami0.240.0%1st Place
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7.64The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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3.68Eckerd College2.690.1%1st Place
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4.99Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.16University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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10.74Vanderbilt University-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.02Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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9.45North Carolina State University-0.700.0%1st Place
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11.22Georgia Institute of Technology-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 38.1% | 26.9% | 18.6% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 10.5% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 22.3% | 22.1% | 22.1% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Schwarm | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 21.2% | 22.0% | 18.2% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 21.5% | 13.6% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 14.1% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Kristen Morris | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 14.3% | 40.8% | 31.4% |
| Ian Nora | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dustin Simons | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 32.9% | 22.2% | 7.5% |
| Will Brazzil | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 7.9% | 24.0% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.