← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+5.12vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.03+2.23vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.53+2.67vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.69vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington0.51+3.73vs Predicted
-
6San Diego State University0.53+3.38vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.09vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+0.84vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley-0.25+3.85vs Predicted
-
10University of Southern California1.25-3.09vs Predicted
-
11Arizona State University-0.41+1.78vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University0.29-1.70vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego0.22-2.45vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-3.27vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles0.43-5.03vs Predicted
-
16California State University Channel Islands-0.83-1.74vs Predicted
-
17Arizona State University-1.53-0.05vs Predicted
-
18California State University Channel Islands-2.40+0.88vs Predicted
-
19University of Oregon-1.88-1.38vs Predicted
-
20University of California at San Diego-1.46-3.11vs Predicted
-
21University of California at San Diego-1.13-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.12University of California at Los Angeles1.3011.0%1st Place
-
4.23University of Hawaii2.0317.2%1st Place
-
5.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.5310.8%1st Place
-
5.69California Poly Maritime Academy1.6211.8%1st Place
-
8.73University of Washington0.515.2%1st Place
-
9.38San Diego State University0.534.5%1st Place
-
8.09University of California at Santa Cruz0.866.3%1st Place
-
8.84University of California at Santa Barbara0.574.5%1st Place
-
12.85University of California at Berkeley-0.251.7%1st Place
-
6.91University of Southern California1.257.8%1st Place
-
12.78Arizona State University-0.412.1%1st Place
-
10.3San Diego State University0.293.1%1st Place
-
10.55University of California at San Diego0.223.2%1st Place
-
10.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.4%1st Place
-
9.97University of California at Los Angeles0.433.9%1st Place
-
14.26California State University Channel Islands-0.831.1%1st Place
-
16.95Arizona State University-1.530.7%1st Place
-
18.88California State University Channel Islands-2.400.4%1st Place
-
17.62University of Oregon-1.880.5%1st Place
-
16.89University of California at San Diego-1.460.4%1st Place
-
15.57University of California at San Diego-1.130.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 17.2% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Austin | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Diya Correa | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Ian Collignon | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Florence Duff | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rob Reigelman | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 12.6% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 19.4% | 44.1% |
| Katy Priest | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 20.4% | 21.9% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 13.2% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.