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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.69+2.72vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.15+0.95vs Predicted
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3Rollins College1.27+3.14vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.73-1.82vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.54-1.07vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.42+1.66vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.88-2.01vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.24-0.08vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-1.85vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.70-0.62vs Predicted
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11Vanderbilt University-1.79-0.25vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-2.30-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Eckerd College2.690.1%1st Place
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2.95University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
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6.14Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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2.18College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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3.93Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.66The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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4.99Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Miami0.240.0%1st Place
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7.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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9.38North Carolina State University-0.700.0%1st Place
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10.75Vanderbilt University-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.23Georgia Institute of Technology-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Monllor | 12.8% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 20.3% | 17.7% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 21.2% | 23.6% | 22.5% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 21.3% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 39.1% | 27.6% | 18.7% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 12.0% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 23.0% | 15.5% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| John Roberts | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Schwarm | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 23.0% | 16.9% | 6.2% | 0.6% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 21.7% | 16.7% | 8.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Dustin Simons | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 33.4% | 22.4% | 5.8% |
| Kristen Morris | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 13.1% | 39.0% | 35.1% |
| Will Brazzil | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 8.6% | 26.4% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.