← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.73+1.24vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.54+1.91vs Predicted
-
3Rollins College1.27+3.07vs Predicted
-
4The Citadel0.42+3.73vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida3.15-2.06vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College2.69-2.34vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University1.88-2.01vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami0.24-0.10vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-1.85vs Predicted
-
10Georgia Institute of Technology-2.30+1.20vs Predicted
-
11Vanderbilt University-1.79-0.23vs Predicted
-
12North Carolina State University-0.70-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.24College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
-
3.91Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
-
6.07Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
-
7.73The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
-
2.94University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
-
3.66Eckerd College2.690.1%1st Place
-
4.99Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
-
7.9University of Miami0.240.0%1st Place
-
7.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
-
11.2Georgia Institute of Technology-2.300.0%1st Place
-
10.77Vanderbilt University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
9.44North Carolina State University-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 38.2% | 25.4% | 20.0% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 10.2% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 21.7% | 15.7% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 22.2% | 14.7% | 4.9% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 22.1% | 23.9% | 20.1% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 13.6% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Schwarm | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 18.9% | 21.6% | 19.4% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Cassie Todd | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 18.2% | 9.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Will Brazzil | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 8.1% | 25.7% | 57.4% |
| Kristen Morris | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 11.7% | 40.7% | 35.0% |
| Dustin Simons | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 18.2% | 33.0% | 22.4% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.