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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.03+3.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.53+3.46vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+2.33vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+4.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.08vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.43+3.58vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University0.53+2.28vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.51+0.52vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-0.52vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University0.29+0.03vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.38-1.37vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.41+1.14vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.25-0.33vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-3.59vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.22-4.58vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.83-1.56vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.53-0.28vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.48vs Predicted
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19University of Oregon-1.88-1.21vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.13-4.47vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-2.40-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Hawaii2.0319.7%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.5311.9%1st Place
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5.33California Poly Maritime Academy1.6213.6%1st Place
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8.04University of California at Santa Cruz0.866.2%1st Place
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6.08University of California at Los Angeles1.309.3%1st Place
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9.58University of California at Los Angeles0.434.2%1st Place
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9.28San Diego State University0.534.2%1st Place
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8.52University of Washington0.515.4%1st Place
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8.48University of California at Santa Barbara0.575.2%1st Place
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10.03San Diego State University0.293.5%1st Place
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9.63University of Southern California0.384.2%1st Place
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13.14Arizona State University-0.411.8%1st Place
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12.67University of California at Berkeley-0.251.7%1st Place
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10.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.5%1st Place
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10.42University of California at San Diego0.223.2%1st Place
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14.44California State University Channel Islands-0.830.9%1st Place
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16.72Arizona State University-1.530.7%1st Place
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16.52University of California at San Diego-1.460.6%1st Place
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17.79University of Oregon-1.880.5%1st Place
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15.53University of California at San Diego-1.130.7%1st Place
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18.83California State University Channel Islands-2.400.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Patton | 19.7% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Austin | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 13.6% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| harriet jessup | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Florence Duff | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 11.2% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 12.3% |
| Katy Priest | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 20.7% | 22.1% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 5.5% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.