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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College1.27+5.20vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.88+3.05vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.73-0.79vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.54-0.07vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.42+2.68vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.15-3.00vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+0.14vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.80-4.51vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.24-1.08vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.70-0.61vs Predicted
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11Vanderbilt University-1.79-0.23vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-2.30-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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5.05Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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2.21College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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3.93Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.68The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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3.0University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
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7.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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3.49Eckerd College2.800.2%1st Place
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7.92University of Miami0.240.0%1st Place
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9.39North Carolina State University-0.700.0%1st Place
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10.77Vanderbilt University-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.22Georgia Institute of Technology-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Nora | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 15.9% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 4.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 21.4% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 38.1% | 27.3% | 17.7% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 12.1% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 18.4% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 22.4% | 15.1% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 20.9% | 22.5% | 21.9% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 19.7% | 17.1% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 15.8% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Schwarm | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 21.9% | 18.4% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Dustin Simons | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 16.1% | 33.1% | 22.6% | 5.6% |
| Kristen Morris | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 12.4% | 39.0% | 35.1% |
| Will Brazzil | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 7.5% | 26.4% | 58.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.