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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+5.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.53+3.73vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.03+1.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+4.65vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.51+3.99vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-0.25vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.25+0.07vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.15vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University0.29+1.13vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.43+0.10vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.30vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University0.53-2.50vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.08-1.79vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.41-1.02vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.53+2.05vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego0.22-5.29vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-0.83-2.19vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.88-0.10vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-2.40-0.12vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.46-3.20vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.13-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.5%1st Place
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5.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.5312.3%1st Place
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4.29University of Hawaii2.0319.2%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Santa Barbara0.575.9%1st Place
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8.99University of Washington0.514.5%1st Place
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5.75California Poly Maritime Academy1.6210.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Southern California1.257.1%1st Place
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8.15University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.6%1st Place
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10.13San Diego State University0.292.9%1st Place
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10.1University of California at Los Angeles0.434.0%1st Place
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10.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.0%1st Place
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9.5San Diego State University0.534.1%1st Place
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11.21University of California at Berkeley0.082.8%1st Place
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12.98Arizona State University-0.411.7%1st Place
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17.05Arizona State University-1.530.4%1st Place
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10.71University of California at San Diego0.223.2%1st Place
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14.81California State University Channel Islands-0.830.8%1st Place
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17.9University of Oregon-1.880.1%1st Place
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18.88California State University Channel Islands-2.400.3%1st Place
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16.8University of California at San Diego-1.460.5%1st Place
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15.5University of California at San Diego-1.131.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Austin | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 19.2% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Florence Duff | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Beck Boyea | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 19.1% | 14.5% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Katy Priest | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 22.9% | 21.6% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 19.4% | 42.1% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 13.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.