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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.87+4.50vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.73+3.91vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+3.21vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.53+0.26vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.85+0.48vs Predicted
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6Rice University0.94-0.44vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.13+2.03vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.01+0.80vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-1.75+5.71vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University0.10-1.65vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.41+2.95vs Predicted
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12University of Texas-0.50-1.55vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia-0.52-2.46vs Predicted
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14Hope College-0.77-2.87vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.55-4.11vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.18-2.91vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-2.35-0.53vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University-1.65-3.54vs Predicted
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19University of Central Florida-2.68-1.81vs Predicted
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20William and Mary-3.07-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Clemson University0.8711.7%1st Place
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5.91Christopher Newport University0.739.2%1st Place
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6.21Jacksonville University0.948.5%1st Place
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4.26North Carolina State University1.5316.8%1st Place
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5.48Eckerd College0.8513.0%1st Place
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5.56Rice University0.9412.2%1st Place
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9.03The Citadel-0.133.9%1st Place
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8.8University of South Florida0.014.4%1st Place
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14.71University of North Carolina-1.751.1%1st Place
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8.35Texas A&M University0.104.5%1st Place
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13.95Arizona State University-1.410.8%1st Place
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10.45University of Texas-0.503.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Virginia-0.522.8%1st Place
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11.13Hope College-0.772.9%1st Place
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10.89Washington College-0.552.3%1st Place
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13.09San Diego State University-1.181.2%1st Place
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16.47Florida Institute of Technology-2.350.2%1st Place
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14.46Michigan State University-1.651.0%1st Place
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17.19University of Central Florida-2.680.2%1st Place
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18.02William and Mary-3.070.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Hnatt | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 16.8% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 13.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Blackwell | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Runyon Tyler | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 4.7% |
| Ryan Ingram | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Rohit Rajan | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Myrick | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ella Sligh | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 20.2% | 15.4% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 14.7% | 22.4% | 27.0% |
| Meredith Timm | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 19.4% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.