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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.73+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.15+1.00vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.80+0.48vs Predicted
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4Rollins College1.27+2.19vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.54-1.02vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.88-0.89vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.24+0.89vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.42-0.40vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-1.85vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.70-0.62vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-2.30+0.23vs Predicted
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12Vanderbilt University-1.79-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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3.0University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
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3.48Eckerd College2.800.2%1st Place
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6.19Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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3.98Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.11Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Miami0.240.0%1st Place
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7.6The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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7.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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9.38North Carolina State University-0.700.0%1st Place
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11.23Georgia Institute of Technology-2.300.0%1st Place
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10.75Vanderbilt University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 37.6% | 28.0% | 18.0% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 21.1% | 23.8% | 20.2% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 15.9% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 9.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 1.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 19.8% | 15.8% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 11.8% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 19.7% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Schwarm | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 24.3% | 15.8% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.5% | 1.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 22.2% | 14.0% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Cassie Todd | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 22.1% | 17.7% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Dustin Simons | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 15.0% | 33.9% | 21.8% | 6.4% |
| Will Brazzil | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 8.7% | 24.0% | 59.7% |
| Kristen Morris | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 14.6% | 41.3% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.