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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+5.18vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+3.83vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.03+1.32vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+4.81vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.51+3.93vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.25+1.02vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.53-1.34vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University0.29+2.34vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.22+0.63vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.43-0.95vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.08-0.74vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-2.31vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University0.53-4.46vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.41-1.77vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.46+0.90vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-0.83-2.52vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.53-1.00vs Predicted
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19University of Oregon-1.88-1.32vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-2.40-1.12vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.13-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.6%1st Place
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5.83California Poly Maritime Academy1.6211.3%1st Place
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4.32University of Hawaii2.0317.8%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Santa Barbara0.574.7%1st Place
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8.93University of Washington0.515.2%1st Place
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7.02University of Southern California1.257.5%1st Place
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5.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.5311.8%1st Place
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10.34San Diego State University0.293.2%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.9%1st Place
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10.63University of California at San Diego0.223.2%1st Place
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10.05University of California at Los Angeles0.433.5%1st Place
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11.26University of California at Berkeley0.082.9%1st Place
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10.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.0%1st Place
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9.54San Diego State University0.533.5%1st Place
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13.23Arizona State University-0.411.8%1st Place
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16.9University of California at San Diego-1.460.6%1st Place
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14.48California State University Channel Islands-0.830.9%1st Place
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17.0Arizona State University-1.530.4%1st Place
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17.68University of Oregon-1.880.8%1st Place
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18.88California State University Channel Islands-2.400.2%1st Place
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15.61University of California at San Diego-1.131.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 17.8% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Austin | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Beck Boyea | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Florence Duff | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 12.4% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 13.6% |
| Katy Priest | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 19.9% | 22.0% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 18.9% | 43.2% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.