← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.03+3.36vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+3.76vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.53+2.73vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.18vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+3.10vs Predicted
-
6San Diego State University0.53+3.33vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California1.25+0.24vs Predicted
-
8San Diego State University0.29+2.16vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-0.22vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University-0.41+3.19vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego0.22-0.37vs Predicted
-
12University of Washington0.51-3.07vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles0.43-3.13vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley0.08-2.69vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-4.21vs Predicted
-
16California State University Channel Islands-0.83-1.47vs Predicted
-
17University of Oregon-1.88+0.70vs Predicted
-
18Arizona State University-1.53-0.97vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego-1.46-2.21vs Predicted
-
20University of California at San Diego-1.13-4.40vs Predicted
-
21California State University Channel Islands-2.40-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.36University of Hawaii2.0317.8%1st Place
-
5.76California Poly Maritime Academy1.6210.7%1st Place
-
5.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.5312.2%1st Place
-
6.18University of California at Los Angeles1.309.8%1st Place
-
8.1University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.2%1st Place
-
9.33San Diego State University0.534.5%1st Place
-
7.24University of Southern California1.256.6%1st Place
-
10.16San Diego State University0.293.2%1st Place
-
8.78University of California at Santa Barbara0.575.7%1st Place
-
13.19Arizona State University-0.411.9%1st Place
-
10.63University of California at San Diego0.223.6%1st Place
-
8.93University of Washington0.514.7%1st Place
-
9.87University of California at Los Angeles0.433.1%1st Place
-
11.31University of California at Berkeley0.083.0%1st Place
-
10.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.5%1st Place
-
14.53California State University Channel Islands-0.831.9%1st Place
-
17.7University of Oregon-1.880.4%1st Place
-
17.03Arizona State University-1.530.4%1st Place
-
16.79University of California at San Diego-1.460.5%1st Place
-
15.6University of California at San Diego-1.130.9%1st Place
-
19.0California State University Channel Islands-2.400.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Patton | 17.8% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Austin | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| harriet jessup | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Beck Boyea | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Florence Duff | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rob Reigelman | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Katy Priest | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 20.5% | 22.2% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 13.5% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 10.5% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 5.1% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 20.1% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.