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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.15+2.02vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.54+1.94vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.70+6.37vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.73-1.80vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.80-1.49vs Predicted
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6Rollins College1.27+0.15vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+0.14vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.88-2.97vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.24-1.09vs Predicted
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10Vanderbilt University-1.79+0.70vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.42-3.22vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-2.30-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
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3.94Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.37North Carolina State University-0.700.0%1st Place
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2.2College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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3.51Eckerd College2.800.2%1st Place
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6.15Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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7.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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5.03Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Miami0.240.0%1st Place
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10.7Vanderbilt University-1.790.0%1st Place
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7.78The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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11.23Georgia Institute of Technology-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Mohney | 20.1% | 22.1% | 20.8% | 19.7% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 10.7% | 13.5% | 18.2% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dustin Simons | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 31.6% | 23.6% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Davidson | 38.7% | 27.8% | 17.2% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 15.6% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 19.2% | 19.0% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| John Roberts | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Schwarm | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 21.9% | 17.9% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
| Kristen Morris | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 14.0% | 38.5% | 33.1% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 23.9% | 15.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Will Brazzil | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 7.6% | 26.0% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.