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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.73+1.23vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.54+1.93vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.80+0.49vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.15-1.06vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.88+0.12vs Predicted
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6Rollins College1.27+0.20vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.24+0.91vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.42-0.39vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-1.82vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.70-0.59vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-2.30+0.23vs Predicted
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12Vanderbilt University-1.79-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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3.93Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.49Eckerd College2.800.2%1st Place
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2.94University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
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5.12Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.2Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Miami0.240.0%1st Place
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7.61The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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7.18University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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9.41North Carolina State University-0.700.0%1st Place
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11.23Georgia Institute of Technology-2.300.0%1st Place
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10.75Vanderbilt University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 39.0% | 25.8% | 18.8% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 10.0% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 16.2% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 21.3% | 23.3% | 21.2% | 18.3% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 21.4% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 18.6% | 19.8% | 15.5% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Schwarm | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 24.3% | 15.9% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 21.9% | 13.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 14.2% | 19.5% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Dustin Simons | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 33.3% | 22.0% | 6.4% |
| Will Brazzil | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 8.9% | 24.1% | 59.7% |
| Kristen Morris | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 14.9% | 41.2% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.