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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.03+3.28vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+4.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.53+2.68vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University0.29+6.02vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+0.65vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.18vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University0.53+2.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+0.70vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.25-2.05vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.51-1.07vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.08+0.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.43-2.10vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.41+0.23vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.22-3.25vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-4.06vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.83-1.34vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.22vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-1.88-0.14vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.53-1.94vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.13-4.38vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-2.40-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28University of Hawaii2.0318.4%1st Place
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6.35University of California at Los Angeles1.309.3%1st Place
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5.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.5311.3%1st Place
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10.02San Diego State University0.293.8%1st Place
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5.65California Poly Maritime Academy1.6212.2%1st Place
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8.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.5%1st Place
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9.34San Diego State University0.534.2%1st Place
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8.7University of California at Santa Barbara0.574.6%1st Place
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6.95University of Southern California1.258.2%1st Place
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8.93University of Washington0.514.5%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Berkeley0.082.5%1st Place
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9.9University of California at Los Angeles0.434.3%1st Place
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13.23Arizona State University-0.411.7%1st Place
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10.75University of California at San Diego0.223.1%1st Place
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10.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.0%1st Place
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14.66California State University Channel Islands-0.830.9%1st Place
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16.78University of California at San Diego-1.460.6%1st Place
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17.86University of Oregon-1.880.3%1st Place
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17.06Arizona State University-1.530.4%1st Place
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15.62University of California at San Diego-1.130.9%1st Place
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18.99California State University Channel Islands-2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Patton | 18.4% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Austin | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Beck Boyea | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Florence Duff | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 10.8% |
| Katy Priest | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 21.6% | 22.9% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 19.4% | 13.1% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 5.2% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 18.6% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.