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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.54+2.93vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.15+0.96vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.73-0.78vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.78-0.46vs Predicted
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5Rollins College1.27+1.18vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.88-0.88vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+0.17vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.70+1.36vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.24-1.08vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.42-2.36vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-2.30+0.22vs Predicted
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12Vanderbilt University-1.79-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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2.96University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
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2.22College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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3.54Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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6.18Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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5.12Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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9.36North Carolina State University-0.700.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Miami0.240.0%1st Place
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7.64The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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11.22Georgia Institute of Technology-2.300.0%1st Place
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10.74Vanderbilt University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Ikeda | 11.3% | 12.7% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 19.7% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 20.6% | 24.9% | 19.1% | 17.5% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 39.2% | 26.9% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 14.6% | 16.6% | 21.5% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 19.7% | 17.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Dustin Simons | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 31.1% | 23.3% | 6.0% |
| Kevin Schwarm | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 19.3% | 23.9% | 17.2% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 20.2% | 21.7% | 14.9% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Will Brazzil | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 8.7% | 22.9% | 60.5% |
| Kristen Morris | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 11.8% | 42.4% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.