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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.99+2.98vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston0.94+3.64vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.23+4.41vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81-0.57vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.43+4.28vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.22-0.89vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.73-0.86vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina1.30-3.41vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College-0.05-0.80vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College0.18-2.43vs Predicted
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11Auburn University-0.69-0.51vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19-3.63vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-1.79-0.97vs Predicted
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14College of Coastal Georgia-2.27-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98North Carolina State University1.9918.4%1st Place
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5.64College of Charleston0.948.6%1st Place
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7.41Duke University0.234.2%1st Place
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3.43College of Charleston1.8121.7%1st Place
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9.28Georgia Institute of Technology-0.432.6%1st Place
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5.11The Citadel1.2210.3%1st Place
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6.14Clemson University0.737.3%1st Place
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4.59University of South Carolina1.3013.6%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College-0.053.5%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College0.183.9%1st Place
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10.49Auburn University-0.691.2%1st Place
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8.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.193.6%1st Place
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12.03University of Georgia-1.790.4%1st Place
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12.77College of Coastal Georgia-2.270.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 18.4% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christofor Tella | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alec Deakin | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 21.7% | 19.2% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| James Thurlow | 13.6% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martha Rand | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Sara Boyd | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 21.2% | 19.4% | 9.2% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Isabel Taranto | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 13.9% | 30.2% | 30.6% |
| Nellie Little | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 22.7% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.