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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College1.27+5.17vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.73+0.24vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.78+0.54vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.15-1.02vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.54-1.07vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.24+1.95vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.88-2.04vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-0.87vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.70+0.37vs Predicted
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10Vanderbilt University-1.79+0.74vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.42-3.24vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-2.30-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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2.24College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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3.54Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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2.98University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
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3.93Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Miami0.240.0%1st Place
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4.96Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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9.37North Carolina State University-0.700.0%1st Place
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10.74Vanderbilt University-1.790.0%1st Place
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7.76The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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11.24Georgia Institute of Technology-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Nora | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 37.1% | 27.6% | 18.5% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 14.5% | 17.7% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 21.5% | 23.4% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 12.0% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 16.3% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Schwarm | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 19.9% | 23.3% | 17.6% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| John Roberts | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 14.4% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Dustin Simons | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 33.4% | 23.3% | 4.1% |
| Kristen Morris | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 14.1% | 38.3% | 34.0% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 19.3% | 23.3% | 14.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Will Brazzil | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 7.8% | 25.1% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.