Race 2A

saisa-north-points-charleston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Scott Harris 18.5% 16.6% 14.0% 13.7% 11.3% 10.1% 6.3% 4.3% 2.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Christofor Tella 10.1% 10.0% 8.5% 11.7% 11.8% 11.5% 10.1% 9.5% 7.5% 5.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Nilah Miller 6.6% 7.5% 7.7% 9.8% 9.7% 9.9% 12.3% 10.6% 9.8% 7.6% 5.5% 2.6% 0.3%
Alec Deakin 4.5% 5.4% 5.9% 5.2% 7.8% 8.0% 10.2% 11.5% 11.3% 11.4% 10.1% 6.8% 1.9%
Emma Tallman 21.5% 20.2% 17.4% 12.3% 10.2% 7.5% 5.8% 2.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gregory Walters 11.4% 10.8% 11.8% 12.3% 12.6% 11.6% 9.6% 7.6% 5.9% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
James Thurlow 14.5% 13.6% 13.6% 14.1% 10.7% 9.8% 9.6% 6.4% 4.6% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Phoebe Whitbeck 2.4% 3.6% 4.5% 4.5% 5.5% 7.4% 7.0% 10.2% 10.8% 14.1% 13.2% 11.6% 5.3%
Kyle Meyhoefer 2.1% 1.8% 3.0% 3.9% 3.8% 5.1% 5.9% 8.2% 10.4% 12.5% 16.4% 16.8% 10.0%
Sara Boyd 0.9% 1.5% 2.3% 1.8% 2.5% 3.1% 3.5% 5.1% 6.6% 10.4% 15.3% 26.5% 20.4%
Martha Rand 3.5% 3.8% 4.2% 4.2% 6.1% 6.6% 8.0% 10.1% 12.1% 13.5% 13.5% 10.8% 3.6%
Michael Hanrahan 3.8% 4.8% 5.9% 5.9% 6.9% 8.1% 9.8% 10.8% 12.6% 12.5% 10.7% 6.5% 1.8%
Isabel Taranto 0.4% 0.5% 1.2% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 2.9% 4.2% 3.9% 8.7% 16.7% 56.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.