Race 11B

saisa-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Davidson 38.3% 28.7% 17.4% 9.2% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Nora 2.8% 3.1% 5.5% 9.0% 12.1% 17.4% 21.3% 15.7% 8.7% 4.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Benjamin Mohney 23.2% 20.6% 19.3% 17.5% 12.1% 5.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Savoie 13.0% 18.5% 18.8% 19.5% 15.7% 8.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Ikeda 11.5% 14.5% 18.0% 18.5% 15.7% 11.3% 6.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Roberts 5.9% 6.9% 9.9% 13.3% 19.8% 18.9% 14.0% 7.3% 2.9% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cassie Todd 2.4% 2.2% 4.3% 4.5% 7.3% 13.2% 15.7% 20.6% 18.2% 8.2% 3.0% 0.4%
Kevin Schwarm 0.9% 2.0% 2.4% 3.5% 5.8% 8.5% 11.9% 16.2% 23.7% 18.0% 6.4% 0.7%
Dustin Simons 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 1.8% 2.6% 6.2% 11.1% 15.2% 34.1% 22.0% 4.8%
Robert Marshall 1.1% 2.5% 3.4% 3.5% 4.9% 10.1% 15.9% 19.6% 21.8% 13.3% 3.3% 0.6%
Will Brazzil 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.8% 0.7% 2.1% 3.0% 8.1% 22.9% 61.2%
Kristen Morris 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 1.9% 2.6% 5.0% 13.2% 42.0% 32.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.