Race 3A

saisa-north-points-charleston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Scott Harris 19.1% 15.3% 14.9% 12.4% 12.8% 9.7% 6.8% 4.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Christofor Tella 8.3% 10.0% 9.8% 11.1% 11.5% 11.6% 11.4% 9.9% 8.2% 5.5% 2.3% 0.4%
Emma Tallman 23.8% 19.3% 17.2% 12.7% 9.7% 7.0% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Gregory Walters 10.8% 11.5% 12.1% 10.7% 11.2% 11.6% 9.4% 9.6% 6.7% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
Nilah Miller 7.4% 8.2% 8.7% 10.2% 9.2% 12.1% 12.0% 11.0% 8.5% 7.2% 4.0% 1.5%
Kyle Meyhoefer 1.7% 2.1% 2.7% 3.7% 3.3% 5.0% 7.3% 8.2% 10.2% 14.5% 19.6% 21.9%
Sara Boyd 2.1% 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.0% 4.0% 4.9% 6.6% 11.2% 17.6% 41.8%
Phoebe Whitbeck 2.7% 3.4% 3.4% 4.2% 5.2% 7.0% 7.0% 10.0% 12.8% 14.8% 17.2% 12.3%
James Thurlow 12.4% 13.8% 12.8% 13.7% 13.9% 11.5% 7.7% 6.9% 4.3% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Alec Deakin 4.3% 5.2% 6.2% 7.0% 6.8% 7.8% 11.1% 11.1% 13.4% 11.9% 10.2% 5.1%
Martha Rand 3.1% 4.3% 5.2% 4.9% 6.2% 6.9% 7.8% 10.6% 12.0% 13.9% 14.8% 10.2%
Michael Hanrahan 4.2% 5.2% 5.3% 7.0% 7.4% 6.9% 9.9% 10.8% 12.7% 13.2% 11.3% 6.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.