Race 12B

saisa-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Robert Savoie 13.0% 16.4% 19.6% 21.0% 14.7% 10.0% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Ikeda 10.4% 15.0% 16.1% 17.1% 19.9% 11.6% 7.2% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Schwarm 1.3% 1.6% 2.2% 3.3% 5.5% 7.3% 12.4% 18.4% 25.1% 17.0% 5.3% 0.6%
Ryan Davidson 39.3% 28.1% 17.1% 8.5% 4.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Roberts 5.3% 7.1% 10.0% 14.0% 19.0% 18.2% 13.7% 8.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Mohney 22.3% 22.0% 20.7% 16.7% 10.5% 5.1% 2.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Nora 3.9% 4.7% 6.1% 7.6% 12.2% 19.0% 18.9% 13.7% 10.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Cassie Todd 1.8% 2.2% 3.6% 6.0% 6.2% 12.4% 17.2% 21.0% 17.1% 9.8% 2.5% 0.2%
Dustin Simons 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 3.5% 6.1% 10.2% 15.3% 34.9% 21.4% 4.6%
Robert Marshall 1.4% 2.0% 3.4% 4.0% 5.0% 9.4% 16.2% 19.0% 20.9% 14.4% 3.9% 0.4%
Kristen Morris 0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% 3.4% 4.2% 12.9% 39.6% 35.7%
Will Brazzil 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 1.6% 3.6% 7.0% 26.4% 58.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.