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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.72vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+4.27vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.53+8.60vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+5.29vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.81vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.25vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.06+2.15vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.82+2.05vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-3.90vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.74+0.75vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-0.41vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.63-4.76vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.28vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.84-8.01vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-4.59vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.09-2.97vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.91-7.07vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.72-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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11.6Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.05Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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5.1Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.75Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.59Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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7.24Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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11.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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5.99University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.41Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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13.03Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.93Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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14.1Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 6.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Sky Adams | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.8% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Lily Katz | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.0% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Rachel Perry | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 17.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.