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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.74+9.62vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+8.44vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+3.25vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+5.95vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10+0.20vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.06+3.25vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.91vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.88vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.01-3.55vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91+0.05vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.63-3.98vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.53-0.31vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-3.75vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.72-0.05vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.74-4.54vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.09-2.89vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.84-10.74vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.75-7.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.62Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.95Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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5.2Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.25Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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5.45Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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7.02Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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11.69Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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13.95Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.46Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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13.11Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.23Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 5.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.8% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 11.1% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Lily Katz | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 28.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Rachel Perry | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 18.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.