← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University0.73+4.97vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College0.85+3.46vs Predicted
-
3Rice University0.94+2.56vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.53+0.18vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University0.87+0.38vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University0.94+0.08vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida0.01+1.72vs Predicted
-
8The Citadel-0.13+1.18vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina-1.75+5.73vs Predicted
-
10Texas A&M University0.10-1.68vs Predicted
-
11University of Texas-0.50-0.41vs Predicted
-
12Hope College-0.77-0.95vs Predicted
-
13University of Virginia-0.52-2.49vs Predicted
-
14Arizona State University-1.41-0.18vs Predicted
-
15Washington College-0.55-4.14vs Predicted
-
16San Diego State University-1.18-2.78vs Predicted
-
17Michigan State University-1.65-2.55vs Predicted
-
18University of Central Florida-2.68-0.59vs Predicted
-
19Florida Institute of Technology-2.35-2.49vs Predicted
-
20William and Mary-3.07-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.97Christopher Newport University0.7311.2%1st Place
-
5.46Eckerd College0.8511.7%1st Place
-
5.56Rice University0.9411.2%1st Place
-
4.18North Carolina State University1.5316.4%1st Place
-
5.38Clemson University0.8713.1%1st Place
-
6.08Jacksonville University0.949.3%1st Place
-
8.72University of South Florida0.014.2%1st Place
-
9.18The Citadel-0.133.9%1st Place
-
14.73University of North Carolina-1.750.9%1st Place
-
8.32Texas A&M University0.105.1%1st Place
-
10.59University of Texas-0.502.4%1st Place
-
11.05Hope College-0.772.5%1st Place
-
10.51University of Virginia-0.522.7%1st Place
-
13.82Arizona State University-1.410.9%1st Place
-
10.86Washington College-0.551.9%1st Place
-
13.22San Diego State University-1.181.1%1st Place
-
14.45Michigan State University-1.651.1%1st Place
-
17.41University of Central Florida-2.680.1%1st Place
-
16.51Florida Institute of Technology-2.350.1%1st Place
-
18.0William and Mary-3.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 16.4% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 13.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reese Blackwell | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 4.7% |
| Ryan Ingram | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rohit Rajan | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ella Sligh | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Henry Myrick | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 23.7% | 27.1% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 20.8% | 16.8% |
| Meredith Timm | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 19.9% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.