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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.16+5.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.81+5.76vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.92+1.29vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.33+2.14vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida4.17+1.52vs Predicted
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6University of Florida3.41+3.49vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University1.27+8.14vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.34-1.99vs Predicted
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9Washington College3.65-0.36vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.25-3.77vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-1.72vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.62-3.48vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.92-1.86vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon2.51-1.57vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California3.16-4.80vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.31-6.20vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.27-1.86vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.49-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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4.29Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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6.14Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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6.52University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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15.14Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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6.01College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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8.64Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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6.23Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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11.14University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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12.43University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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10.2University of Southern California3.160.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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15.14Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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14.92Northwestern University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Sterling | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Criezis | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 18.3% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 24.6% | 46.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Brown | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hester | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 20.7% | 15.0% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Leif Evensen | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 24.6% | 46.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wien | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 25.7% | 38.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.