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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+8.14vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+7.39vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+2.12vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+4.99vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.74+4.49vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.74+3.47vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-2.85vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.06+0.14vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.75+0.65vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.63-3.98vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-1.88vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-6.99vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.99-4.89vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.09-2.08vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.72-1.65vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.93vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.53-6.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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6.12Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.99Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.49Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.47Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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5.15Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.14Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.65Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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7.02Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.12Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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6.01University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.11University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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12.92Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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14.35Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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12.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.13Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 11.4% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.7% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 4.1% |
| Lily Katz | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Rachel Perry | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 17.4% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 33.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.