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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+8.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+9.31vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+3.38vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.48vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.87vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.63+0.94vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.74+3.54vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-1.88vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-3.84vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82+0.50vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-0.39vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.06-2.42vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-3.32vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.53-2.91vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-4.50vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-5.71vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.09-3.83vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.72-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.64University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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11.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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6.38Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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5.48Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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6.94Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.54Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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6.12University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.16Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.5Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.61Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.58Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.68Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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11.09Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.5Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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13.17Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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14.15Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 5.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Lily Katz | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.2% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 19.5% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.