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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.53+1.99vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University0.55+0.91vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.10+0.23vs Predicted
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4Florida State University-0.34+0.11vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.73-2.44vs Predicted
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6Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.31-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of South Florida0.5320.5%1st Place
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2.91Embry-Riddle University0.5522.0%1st Place
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3.23Rollins College0.1016.4%1st Place
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4.11Florida State University-0.349.4%1st Place
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2.56Florida Institute of Technology0.7328.4%1st Place
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5.21Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.313.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary McLauchlin | 20.5% | 21.3% | 20.4% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 4.6% |
| Dylan Hardt | 22.0% | 20.9% | 20.2% | 21.6% | 11.8% | 3.5% |
| Carly Orhan | 16.4% | 18.7% | 20.8% | 19.8% | 18.2% | 6.0% |
| Michael Kaufman | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 30.0% | 20.9% |
| Brendan Smucker | 28.4% | 24.9% | 21.6% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 1.8% |
| Brian Sargent | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.