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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+9.14vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.63+5.15vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+3.36vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+2.12vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.14vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.74+4.55vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.01-1.50vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-2.78vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.53+2.35vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.75+0.73vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-1.03vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-2.11vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.06-3.96vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-3.27vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.74-4.48vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.09-2.86vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.72-2.59vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.82-7.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.14U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.15Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.12Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.55Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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5.5Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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5.22Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.35Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.73Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.52Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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13.14Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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14.41Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.01Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Lily Katz | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.3% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Rachel Perry | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 19.8% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 34.5% |
| Sky Adams | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.