← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.74+5.03vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University2.61+8.73vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.06+5.75vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.33+7.46vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island3.02+3.70vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.97+2.87vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.00vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.71+1.93vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.30+2.72vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.63+0.61vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.96-1.92vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.56-0.96vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.58-2.57vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College1.73-0.43vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College3.18-7.07vs Predicted
-
16Brown University3.38-8.76vs Predicted
-
17Boston University3.42-9.82vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.03Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
10.73Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
-
8.75Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
-
11.46Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
-
8.7University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
8.87Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
7.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.93U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
-
11.72Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
-
10.61Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
-
9.08University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
11.04Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
10.43Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
-
13.57Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
-
7.93Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
7.24Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
7.18Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
10.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Merritt Moran | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% |
| Abby Preston | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Amina Brown | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 14.1% | 28.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.