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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+8.14vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+6.87vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+4.43vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.63+6.28vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.61+5.38vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.58+4.63vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.04vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.97+0.82vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.33+2.65vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-1.68vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+0.07vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.06-3.10vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.56-2.52vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.71-4.30vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.42-8.09vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.74-10.17vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.30-5.13vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.73-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.43Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.28Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
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10.38Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.63Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.82Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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11.65Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.32Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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8.9Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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10.48Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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6.91Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.83Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.87Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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13.68Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Abby Preston | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Merritt Moran | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 12.3% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 15.4% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.