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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+7.27vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.26vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+2.95vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.71+5.92vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+3.67vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.73+7.86vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+3.97vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.58+2.50vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.06-0.59vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.30+1.98vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-3.83vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.63-1.26vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.56-2.45vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.33-2.76vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.61-4.54vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.38-8.75vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.96-7.90vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.97-9.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.27Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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5.95Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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8.67University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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13.86Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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10.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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10.5Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.41Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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11.98Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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7.17Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.74Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
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10.55Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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11.24Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.46Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.25Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.68Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 30.2% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 12.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Abby Preston | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Amina Brown | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.