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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+8.18vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+5.41vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+2.95vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.97+4.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.71+4.95vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.61+4.48vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.30+4.70vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.02vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+1.96vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-2.70vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-2.13vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-1.01vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.33-1.55vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-6.25vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.06-6.56vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.63-5.57vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.73-3.03vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.58-7.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.18University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.41Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.95Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.8Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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10.48Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.7Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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6.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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7.3Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.99Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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11.45Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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7.75Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.44Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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10.43Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
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13.97Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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10.39Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 10.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Abby Preston | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 31.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.