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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+5.09vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+5.39vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.06+5.75vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+3.94vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.63+5.29vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.02vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.30+4.74vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.80+5.54vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56+1.69vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.58+0.88vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.71-0.82vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-2.65vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.26vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-7.21vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.33-3.46vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-7.24vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.61-6.41vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.97-9.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.39Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.75Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.29Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
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7.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.74Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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13.54Connecticut College1.800.0%1st Place
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10.69Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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10.88Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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10.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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6.79Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.54Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.59Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.71Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Abby Preston | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.6% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% |
| Eliza Garry | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 28.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Amina Brown | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.