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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.30+10.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.71+8.34vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.97+6.10vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+6.82vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.06+3.48vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+1.22vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42+0.01vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.56+2.61vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-0.08vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-1.73vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.61-0.33vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.74-5.86vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.02-4.46vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.33-2.67vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-8.04vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.80-2.29vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.63-6.46vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.58-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.92Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.34U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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9.1Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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8.48Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.22Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.01Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.61Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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8.27Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.67Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.14Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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11.33Georgetown University2.330.0%1st Place
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6.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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13.71Connecticut College1.800.0%1st Place
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10.54Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
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10.43Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Levinson | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 13.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% |
| Amina Brown | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Merritt Moran | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Eliza Garry | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 28.1% |
| Abby Preston | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.