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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.87+4.46vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53+2.25vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+3.12vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.73+1.85vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University0.10+3.23vs Predicted
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6Rice University0.94-0.28vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.01+1.86vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-1.18+5.23vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.85-3.64vs Predicted
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10University of Texas-0.50+0.50vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.52-0.46vs Predicted
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12Hope College-0.77-0.71vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.13-3.79vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-1.75+0.82vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.55-4.21vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.41-2.45vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University-1.65-2.50vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-2.35-1.44vs Predicted
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19University of Central Florida-2.68-1.79vs Predicted
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20William and Mary-3.07-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Clemson University0.8711.6%1st Place
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4.25North Carolina State University1.5317.8%1st Place
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6.12Jacksonville University0.949.2%1st Place
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5.85Christopher Newport University0.7310.8%1st Place
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8.23Texas A&M University0.104.6%1st Place
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5.72Rice University0.9410.2%1st Place
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8.86University of South Florida0.014.0%1st Place
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13.23San Diego State University-1.181.2%1st Place
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5.36Eckerd College0.8512.6%1st Place
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10.5University of Texas-0.502.4%1st Place
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10.54University of Virginia-0.523.0%1st Place
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11.29Hope College-0.772.3%1st Place
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9.21The Citadel-0.133.4%1st Place
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14.82University of North Carolina-1.751.2%1st Place
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10.79Washington College-0.552.6%1st Place
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13.55Arizona State University-1.411.2%1st Place
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14.5Michigan State University-1.651.0%1st Place
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16.56Florida Institute of Technology-2.350.4%1st Place
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17.21University of Central Florida-2.680.1%1st Place
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17.94William and Mary-3.070.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Hnatt | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 17.8% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ingram | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rohit Rajan | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Myrick | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ella Sligh | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Reese Blackwell | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Runyon Tyler | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 5.1% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 3.9% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 21.9% | 17.5% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 23.3% | 25.9% |
| Meredith Timm | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.