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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.59+4.98vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.54+4.01vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.95+2.30vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+3.49vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81+0.28vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.99-0.04vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.45-0.74vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.66-2.00vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.56-0.29vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.35vs Predicted
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111.21-4.07vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.06-4.50vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.11-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Old Dominion University1.599.7%1st Place
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6.01College of Charleston1.5410.7%1st Place
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5.3Florida State University1.9512.3%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.085.1%1st Place
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5.28College of Charleston1.8111.3%1st Place
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5.96North Carolina State University1.999.6%1st Place
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6.26University of South Florida1.458.9%1st Place
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6.0Washington College1.6610.1%1st Place
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8.71Jacksonville University0.563.8%1st Place
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7.65University of California at Berkeley0.985.7%1st Place
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6.931.216.8%1st Place
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7.5University of Michigan1.065.5%1st Place
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11.95Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.110.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Ciszewski | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Hasson | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 3.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Scott Harris | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Aden Anderson | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 19.4% | 10.1% |
| Will Cornell | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 3.4% |
| Brian Fox | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| Sherman Thompson | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 3.4% |
| Jason Elliott | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.