Race 2A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Andrew Ciszewski 9.2% 10.2% 9.3% 10.1% 9.5% 9.8% 9.0% 7.1% 8.8% 6.7% 5.5% 3.9% 1.0%
Mateo Rodriguez 12.5% 12.6% 10.7% 11.8% 9.5% 8.2% 7.6% 8.2% 6.3% 5.4% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
Scott Harris 10.1% 9.3% 10.1% 8.3% 10.1% 9.8% 8.7% 9.0% 8.1% 6.4% 5.3% 3.6% 1.1%
Zachariah Schemel 8.1% 9.3% 9.5% 8.9% 8.9% 8.8% 9.3% 9.2% 8.7% 7.5% 6.3% 4.3% 1.2%
Taylor Hasson 8.8% 7.7% 9.2% 9.0% 9.7% 8.6% 9.3% 9.0% 7.6% 8.8% 6.5% 5.1% 0.7%
Will Cornell 7.0% 5.9% 5.8% 6.7% 6.8% 6.6% 7.8% 7.2% 9.8% 10.8% 10.9% 11.6% 3.2%
Sherman Thompson 5.7% 5.3% 5.8% 7.9% 7.0% 6.4% 8.5% 7.3% 7.9% 10.3% 11.2% 12.7% 4.1%
Emma Tallman 11.6% 12.5% 11.1% 10.8% 9.4% 9.8% 9.2% 7.8% 7.2% 4.7% 3.8% 1.8% 0.4%
Stewart Gurnell 9.5% 9.3% 9.7% 9.4% 9.6% 10.1% 7.9% 8.4% 8.1% 7.1% 5.7% 4.4% 0.8%
Peter McGonagle 5.2% 6.3% 5.9% 5.6% 6.0% 7.1% 7.7% 9.2% 8.6% 10.1% 12.7% 11.9% 3.7%
Aden Anderson 4.4% 3.4% 4.2% 4.6% 4.2% 5.3% 5.6% 7.0% 7.6% 9.8% 13.3% 21.6% 8.9%
Brian Fox 7.2% 7.6% 7.8% 6.3% 8.3% 8.2% 7.1% 8.8% 9.3% 8.9% 9.4% 8.8% 2.1%
Jason Elliott 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 1.6% 2.0% 3.5% 4.6% 8.4% 72.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.