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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.54+4.94vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.59+4.08vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.66+3.01vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.99+1.82vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81+0.19vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.06+1.50vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.95-1.56vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.56+0.74vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.47vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-2.36vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.11+0.97vs Predicted
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121.21-5.01vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.45-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94College of Charleston1.5410.2%1st Place
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6.08Old Dominion University1.598.6%1st Place
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6.01Washington College1.6610.6%1st Place
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5.82North Carolina State University1.9910.4%1st Place
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5.19College of Charleston1.8111.9%1st Place
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7.5University of Michigan1.065.7%1st Place
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5.44Florida State University1.9511.8%1st Place
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8.74Jacksonville University0.564.2%1st Place
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7.53University of California at Berkeley0.986.0%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.085.1%1st Place
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11.97Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.110.9%1st Place
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6.991.215.9%1st Place
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6.15University of South Florida1.458.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Hasson | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Scott Harris | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Sherman Thompson | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 3.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Aden Anderson | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 8.2% |
| Will Cornell | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 2.9% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 3.6% |
| Jason Elliott | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 74.2% |
| Brian Fox | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 2.4% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.