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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.06+6.46vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.99+3.99vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+2.33vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.54+1.95vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.66+1.07vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.45+0.17vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.48vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.95-2.65vs Predicted
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91.21-2.01vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.56-1.34vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-3.32vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.11-0.09vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.59-7.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46University of Michigan1.065.7%1st Place
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5.99North Carolina State University1.999.7%1st Place
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5.33College of Charleston1.8112.3%1st Place
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5.95College of Charleston1.5410.2%1st Place
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6.07Washington College1.669.0%1st Place
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6.17University of South Florida1.458.7%1st Place
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7.48University of California at Berkeley0.985.5%1st Place
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5.35Florida State University1.9512.0%1st Place
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6.991.216.5%1st Place
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8.66Jacksonville University0.563.9%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.085.6%1st Place
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11.91Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.110.7%1st Place
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5.96Old Dominion University1.5910.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman Thompson | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 4.4% |
| Scott Harris | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Hasson | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Will Cornell | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 3.9% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Brian Fox | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Aden Anderson | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 8.9% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 4.0% |
| Jason Elliott | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 71.8% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.