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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+4.07vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.05+7.97vs Predicted
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3Fordham University4.26+2.27vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.16+5.12vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+0.95vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.70+1.16vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.49+0.94vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.82vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo2.44+3.11vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85+0.76vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-3.53vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia3.01-1.77vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.84-2.54vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University1.95-0.44vs Predicted
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15Hampton University2.28-2.33vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-5.32vs Predicted
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17Drexel University1.75-2.46vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.71-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.97SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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5.27Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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5.95St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.16Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.94George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.18U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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12.11University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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10.76Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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7.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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10.46Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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13.56Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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12.67Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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10.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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14.54Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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10.87Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 14.4% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Olin Paine | 12.2% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.2% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Fletcher Sims | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Michael Grove | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 7.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Louis Padnos | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Paul Stevens | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 21.7% |
| Veronica Maccari | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 13.3% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Joan Boyle | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 33.4% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.