Race 5A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Taylor Hasson 9.9% 9.1% 10.2% 10.3% 8.2% 8.5% 8.8% 8.1% 8.2% 7.5% 6.2% 4.3% 0.6%
Brian Fox 7.6% 6.5% 7.2% 7.2% 8.0% 7.9% 8.8% 9.2% 9.3% 8.8% 8.7% 8.6% 2.1%
Will Cornell 5.6% 6.2% 5.5% 5.9% 6.5% 7.3% 7.4% 8.5% 9.8% 9.8% 11.5% 11.6% 4.3%
Andrew Ciszewski 10.0% 10.5% 9.8% 9.2% 9.2% 9.2% 9.5% 9.3% 6.2% 7.0% 6.7% 2.9% 0.6%
Zachariah Schemel 7.9% 9.1% 8.9% 7.8% 9.7% 8.5% 8.8% 8.3% 8.9% 7.6% 7.5% 5.8% 1.1%
Stewart Gurnell 9.8% 9.7% 9.6% 9.1% 10.0% 8.6% 8.4% 8.0% 8.3% 8.5% 4.8% 4.7% 0.8%
Scott Harris 8.6% 10.2% 10.7% 10.7% 8.3% 10.1% 8.6% 8.7% 7.3% 6.8% 5.9% 3.4% 0.8%
Sherman Thompson 6.1% 5.5% 5.7% 5.8% 7.7% 7.2% 6.7% 7.0% 8.9% 10.8% 11.7% 12.8% 4.2%
Mateo Rodriguez 12.8% 11.1% 10.1% 10.5% 9.6% 9.6% 8.6% 7.9% 6.8% 5.5% 4.8% 2.5% 0.4%
Emma Tallman 11.8% 11.7% 11.2% 10.8% 9.7% 9.3% 8.8% 9.2% 6.6% 5.3% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5%
Peter McGonagle 5.6% 5.5% 6.1% 6.7% 7.1% 7.5% 8.6% 8.0% 9.9% 9.4% 10.9% 11.6% 3.1%
Aden Anderson 3.6% 4.3% 4.2% 4.8% 5.1% 4.9% 5.5% 6.5% 7.5% 10.4% 13.6% 21.9% 7.5%
Jason Elliott 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.8% 4.4% 8.5% 73.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.