← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.06+6.51vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.99+3.97vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.59+2.89vs Predicted
-
4Washington College1.66+2.15vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.45+1.20vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University1.95-0.53vs Predicted
-
71.21-0.05vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston1.81-2.84vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.63vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-2.36vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston1.54-5.04vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University0.56-3.25vs Predicted
-
13Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.11-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.51University of Michigan1.065.7%1st Place
-
5.97North Carolina State University1.998.5%1st Place
-
5.89Old Dominion University1.5910.9%1st Place
-
6.15Washington College1.668.8%1st Place
-
6.2University of South Florida1.458.8%1st Place
-
5.47Florida State University1.9511.1%1st Place
-
6.951.216.9%1st Place
-
5.16College of Charleston1.8112.9%1st Place
-
7.37University of California at Berkeley0.986.2%1st Place
-
7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.085.8%1st Place
-
5.96College of Charleston1.5410.2%1st Place
-
8.75Jacksonville University0.563.8%1st Place
-
12.0Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.110.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman Thompson | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 3.1% |
| Scott Harris | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Brian Fox | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 2.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 12.9% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Will Cornell | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 3.7% |
| Taylor Hasson | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Aden Anderson | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 21.8% | 8.6% |
| Jason Elliott | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 73.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.