← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University4.26+4.43vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University4.36+3.04vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.47vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College3.05+5.60vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.85+5.40vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University3.70+1.14vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.27vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-2.10vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University3.49-1.10vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-2.41vs Predicted
-
11Washington College2.84-0.27vs Predicted
-
12Washington College2.71-0.59vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.53vs Predicted
-
14University of Buffalo2.44-2.19vs Predicted
-
15Monmouth University1.95-1.23vs Predicted
-
16Hampton University2.28-3.18vs Predicted
-
17Drexel University1.75-2.48vs Predicted
-
18University of Virginia3.01-8.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.43Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
-
5.04Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
7.47U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
9.6SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
-
10.4Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
7.14Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
-
9.27University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
-
5.9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
7.9George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
-
10.73Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
-
11.41Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
-
10.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
-
11.81University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
-
13.77Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
-
12.82Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
-
14.52Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
-
9.73University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Paine | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Nick Valente | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Brady Stagg | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Fletcher Sims | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Louis Padnos | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% |
| Charles Nunn | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 21.8% |
| Veronica Maccari | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 14.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 31.8% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.