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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.99+4.82vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.66+4.02vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.59+3.00vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.95+1.35vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.98+2.55vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.54-0.02vs Predicted
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71.21-0.16vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.81-2.81vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-1.55vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.45-3.89vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.85-2.97vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.56-3.35vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.11-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82North Carolina State University1.9910.6%1st Place
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6.02Washington College1.669.3%1st Place
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6.0Old Dominion University1.599.3%1st Place
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5.35Florida State University1.9513.1%1st Place
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7.55University of California at Berkeley0.985.5%1st Place
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5.98College of Charleston1.549.1%1st Place
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6.841.216.9%1st Place
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5.19College of Charleston1.8113.6%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.085.5%1st Place
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6.11University of South Florida1.458.5%1st Place
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8.03University of Michigan0.854.3%1st Place
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8.65Jacksonville University0.563.8%1st Place
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12.01Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.110.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Will Cornell | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 3.6% |
| Taylor Hasson | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Brian Fox | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 3.5% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Emily Pytell | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 4.4% |
| Aden Anderson | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 21.8% | 7.6% |
| Jason Elliott | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 9.8% | 72.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.