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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.98+6.49vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.45+4.14vs Predicted
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31.21+3.69vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.99+1.95vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.85+2.90vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.95-0.59vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.59-1.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-0.45vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.54-2.98vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.81-4.81vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.66-4.93vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.56-3.30vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.11-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49University of California at Berkeley0.985.8%1st Place
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6.14University of South Florida1.459.9%1st Place
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6.691.217.3%1st Place
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5.95North Carolina State University1.997.7%1st Place
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7.9University of Michigan0.856.4%1st Place
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5.41Florida State University1.9511.3%1st Place
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5.94Old Dominion University1.599.7%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.085.2%1st Place
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6.02College of Charleston1.549.8%1st Place
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5.19College of Charleston1.8113.0%1st Place
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6.07Washington College1.669.4%1st Place
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8.7Jacksonville University0.563.9%1st Place
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11.94Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.110.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cornell | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 4.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Brian Fox | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Scott Harris | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Emily Pytell | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 4.5% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 4.0% |
| Taylor Hasson | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Aden Anderson | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 20.5% | 7.4% |
| Jason Elliott | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 8.8% | 73.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.