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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+3.46vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.94+4.18vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.85+2.72vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.73+2.04vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.01+4.16vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.87-0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-0.52+4.30vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.10+0.75vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.13+0.44vs Predicted
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10Rice University0.94-4.27vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.46+0.08vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.41+2.35vs Predicted
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13Washington College-0.55-2.07vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.18-0.38vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-0.52-4.12vs Predicted
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16Hope College-0.77-4.39vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University-0.97-4.34vs Predicted
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18University of Central Florida-2.68-0.48vs Predicted
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19Florida Institute of Technology-2.35-2.30vs Predicted
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20William and Mary-3.07-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46North Carolina State University1.5316.6%1st Place
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6.18Jacksonville University0.9410.5%1st Place
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5.72Eckerd College0.8510.8%1st Place
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6.04Christopher Newport University0.7310.5%1st Place
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9.16University of South Florida0.014.0%1st Place
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5.7Clemson University0.8711.2%1st Place
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11.3University of Texas-0.522.1%1st Place
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8.75Texas A&M University0.104.8%1st Place
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9.44The Citadel-0.133.5%1st Place
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5.73Rice University0.9411.1%1st Place
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11.08University of North Carolina-0.462.2%1st Place
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14.35Arizona State University-1.411.2%1st Place
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10.93Washington College-0.552.4%1st Place
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13.62San Diego State University-1.181.5%1st Place
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10.88University of Virginia-0.522.7%1st Place
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11.61Hope College-0.772.1%1st Place
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12.66Michigan State University-0.971.8%1st Place
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17.52University of Central Florida-2.680.4%1st Place
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16.7Florida Institute of Technology-2.350.4%1st Place
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18.17William and Mary-3.070.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 16.6% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Fenner | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Ingram | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Reese Blackwell | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| May Proctor | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Henry Myrick | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ella Sligh | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Caden Meyers | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 26.7% | 29.4% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 18.2% | 23.9% | 17.2% |
| Meredith Timm | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 22.7% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.