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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+4.99vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+3.96vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+1.89vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.75+10.80vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College1.73+7.07vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.440.00vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.35+2.87vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.11-0.86vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-2.70vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.24+0.62vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia2.39-1.03vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+1.45vs Predicted
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133.24-6.47vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.79-5.87vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.45-5.50vs Predicted
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16Hampton University2.11-5.10vs Predicted
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17Monmouth University-0.09-0.43vs Predicted
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18Drexel University1.64-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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4.89Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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14.8University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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12.07Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.87Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.14Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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10.62SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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13.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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6.533.240.1%1st Place
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8.13George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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9.5Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.9Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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16.57Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.31Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 14.7% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 25.3% | 22.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 3.5% |
| Michael Popp | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Connor Godfrey | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Craven | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| James Gardner | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 8.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Eric Siegel | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 17.1% | 58.8% |
| Chris Myers | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.