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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+4.97vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+2.91vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia2.39+7.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.98vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.51+0.76vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.11+1.16vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College1.73+5.12vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.11+2.74vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.35+0.91vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.09+6.66vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-4.52vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.45-2.18vs Predicted
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133.24-6.45vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.79-5.99vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.24-4.74vs Predicted
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16Drexel University1.64-3.46vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-3.72vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo0.75-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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4.91Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.03University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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7.16Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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12.12Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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10.74Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.91Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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16.66Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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9.82Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.553.240.1%1st Place
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8.01George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.26SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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12.54Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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13.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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14.81University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Michael Popp | 10.8% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Schofield | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 16.7% | 60.9% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Eddie Cox | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schoene | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Chris Myers | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 4.9% |
| James Gardner | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 7.4% |
| Rory Mess | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 28.4% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.