Race 7B

charleston-spring

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Luke Hayes 4.7% 4.9% 6.2% 6.8% 7.5% 7.4% 9.2% 8.6% 10.6% 11.8% 10.5% 9.4% 2.3%
Patrick Barney 4.8% 5.9% 5.8% 6.5% 7.0% 7.8% 8.4% 10.1% 9.2% 11.9% 11.3% 9.5% 1.8%
Joey Meagher 15.5% 13.9% 13.2% 13.1% 11.6% 9.1% 8.1% 6.8% 4.3% 3.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Charles Mckenzie 23.4% 17.3% 16.4% 13.5% 10.8% 6.8% 5.1% 3.2% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Emily Alfortish 10.3% 11.7% 10.2% 10.0% 10.8% 11.0% 10.0% 8.5% 7.3% 5.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.2%
Hogan O'Donnell 4.0% 4.3% 5.6% 4.9% 5.6% 7.2% 7.3% 8.8% 10.2% 11.6% 14.0% 13.4% 3.1%
Joe Serpa 9.5% 11.2% 10.1% 9.8% 10.2% 9.2% 9.4% 9.1% 8.8% 6.2% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
Katherine Olsen 6.7% 6.2% 7.1% 7.0% 9.4% 9.8% 9.8% 10.7% 10.0% 8.5% 8.4% 5.8% 0.7%
Chloe Sweeting 2.9% 4.2% 5.0% 4.2% 6.0% 7.0% 7.6% 8.9% 9.7% 10.5% 16.3% 14.1% 3.6%
Jack Derry 10.0% 10.3% 9.5% 12.8% 10.2% 10.1% 9.7% 8.9% 7.9% 5.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.3%
Megan Geith 5.9% 6.6% 7.3% 7.9% 6.6% 9.3% 8.7% 9.9% 10.8% 10.7% 9.3% 6.2% 0.8%
Max Shapiro 1.9% 2.8% 2.9% 2.8% 3.4% 4.5% 5.5% 4.8% 7.9% 10.6% 13.9% 27.4% 11.7%
Emily Gaskins 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 3.1% 4.1% 9.2% 75.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.