← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.98+6.67vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+4.41vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.44+3.05vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.60vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University3.25+1.56vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College2.24+4.22vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University3.82-2.30vs Predicted
-
8University of Virginia2.39+1.56vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University2.35+0.76vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University2.79-1.61vs Predicted
-
11Hampton University2.11-0.14vs Predicted
-
12University of Buffalo0.75+3.15vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University3.51-7.37vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76-2.31vs Predicted
-
15Drexel University1.64-2.64vs Predicted
-
16Monmouth University-0.09+0.52vs Predicted
-
17Ocean County College1.73-4.77vs Predicted
-
18Washington College1.81-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.67Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
-
6.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
-
6.05U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
5.6University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
-
6.56Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
-
10.22SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
-
4.7Old Dominion University3.820.2%1st Place
-
9.56University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
-
9.76Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
-
8.39George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
-
10.86Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
-
15.15University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
-
5.63Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
11.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
-
12.36Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
-
16.52Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
-
12.23Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
-
11.64Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Popp | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 15.6% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Schofield | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Daniel DelBello | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Rory Mess | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 13.7% | 28.7% | 23.8% |
| Alex Post | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Skord | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Chris Myers | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 4.4% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 17.4% | 58.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 3.6% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.