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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+4.91vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+2.84vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.79+5.43vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.98+3.41vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+1.14vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.44-0.07vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia2.39+2.64vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.11+2.59vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.25-2.53vs Predicted
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10Drexel University1.64+2.53vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.35-1.03vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76+0.21vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania3.51-7.47vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo0.75+0.70vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.81-3.27vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.24-5.67vs Predicted
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17Ocean County College1.73-4.80vs Predicted
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18Monmouth University-0.09-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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4.84Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.43George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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5.93U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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10.59Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.47Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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12.53Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.97Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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12.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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5.53University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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14.7University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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11.73Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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10.33SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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12.2Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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16.43Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Schofield | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Charles Skord | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 3.6% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 12.0% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 24.8% | 21.8% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Schoene | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Schippe | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 3.6% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 17.1% | 59.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.