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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia2.39+9.12vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+2.97vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.45+6.91vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+2.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.00vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.11+4.92vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.35+3.02vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.11-0.83vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.98-1.32vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.51-4.00vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College1.73+1.40vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.63-2.68vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.79-4.71vs Predicted
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14Drexel University1.64-1.69vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania3.51-9.23vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-0.09+0.63vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo0.75-1.88vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.12University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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4.97Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.91Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.92Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.02Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.17Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.68Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.0Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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12.4Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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9.32SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.29George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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12.31Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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5.77University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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16.63Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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15.12University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Craven | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 11.4% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Schofield | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Connor Godfrey | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 11.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 3.8% |
| Julia Paxton | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Daniel DelBello | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Chris Myers | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 4.7% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 15.5% | 61.5% |
| Rory Mess | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 28.9% | 23.9% |
| Charles Skord | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.