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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+5.55vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia2.39+8.14vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+1.94vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.73vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.11+5.83vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.98+1.70vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.45+2.66vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.63+0.90vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.11-1.87vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.79-1.35vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.35-0.86vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.51-5.95vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76-0.95vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.09+2.50vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College1.73-2.77vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo0.75-0.86vs Predicted
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17Drexel University1.64-4.24vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.44-12.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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4.94Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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10.83Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.66Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.9SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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7.13Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.65George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.14Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.05Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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12.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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16.5Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.23Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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15.14University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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12.76Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Clemence | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 13.8% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eric Siegel | 4.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Julia Paxton | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schofield | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Alex Post | 11.0% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Skord | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 15.6% | 58.4% |
| Zachary Schippe | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 3.5% |
| Rory Mess | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 30.0% | 24.5% |
| Chris Myers | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 5.9% |
| Michael Popp | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.