Race 3A

saisa-sp

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brendan Smucker 17.2% 14.1% 14.5% 13.5% 11.0% 11.0% 8.5% 5.9% 3.1% 1.2%
Matthew Snyder 16.7% 16.1% 14.8% 13.7% 12.6% 10.1% 7.5% 5.1% 2.7% 0.8%
Timothy Brustoski 6.7% 7.5% 8.4% 9.4% 10.7% 10.7% 12.2% 12.8% 12.4% 9.2%
Cameron Robinson 16.0% 14.5% 12.4% 12.8% 12.3% 10.4% 8.5% 6.6% 4.8% 1.8%
Jonathan Gleason 13.2% 12.9% 13.1% 13.2% 11.7% 11.3% 9.5% 8.0% 5.1% 2.1%
Michael Kaufman 4.8% 4.8% 6.8% 7.5% 8.0% 10.0% 12.2% 14.6% 16.5% 14.9%
Jason Goldsmith 3.9% 4.3% 4.0% 5.9% 5.9% 7.3% 10.1% 12.6% 18.6% 27.4%
Tanner Cummings 3.8% 4.0% 4.3% 4.5% 6.2% 5.8% 9.5% 12.8% 17.3% 31.8%
Josh Becker 10.3% 13.3% 12.3% 11.8% 11.5% 11.4% 10.1% 9.2% 6.2% 4.0%
Jackson McGeough 7.3% 8.5% 9.4% 7.7% 10.2% 12.0% 12.0% 12.6% 13.2% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.