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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.92+3.23vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.81+5.87vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.16+7.29vs Predicted
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4University of Florida3.41+5.45vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.34+0.98vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida4.17+0.79vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+2.28vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.62+0.49vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.25-2.41vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.31-0.27vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy4.16-4.07vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University1.27+3.33vs Predicted
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13Washington College3.65-4.30vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon2.51-1.49vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University1.27+0.33vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University4.33-9.84vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii3.36-7.29vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.49-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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10.29University of Southern California3.160.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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5.98College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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6.79University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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6.59Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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6.93U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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15.33Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.7Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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12.51University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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15.33Texas A&M University1.270.0%1st Place
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6.16Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Hawaii3.360.0%1st Place
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14.98Northwestern University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 19.2% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Criezis | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Brown | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leif Evensen | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Martin Sterling | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 22.8% | 48.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 19.2% | 18.9% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Long | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 22.8% | 48.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wien | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 27.6% | 38.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.