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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.73+5.02vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.85+3.75vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53+1.31vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.94+2.31vs Predicted
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5Rice University0.94+0.78vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.87-0.22vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.01+2.14vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-1.18+5.55vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.46+2.35vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.55+1.23vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-0.13-1.65vs Predicted
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12University of Texas-0.52-0.88vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia-0.52-2.29vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University0.10-5.42vs Predicted
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15Hope College-0.77-3.42vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.41-1.88vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University-0.97-4.33vs Predicted
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18William and Mary-3.07+0.31vs Predicted
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19University of Central Florida-2.68-1.40vs Predicted
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20Florida Institute of Technology-2.35-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Christopher Newport University0.739.6%1st Place
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5.75Eckerd College0.8510.4%1st Place
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4.31North Carolina State University1.5319.1%1st Place
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6.31Jacksonville University0.949.7%1st Place
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5.78Rice University0.9411.9%1st Place
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5.78Clemson University0.8710.1%1st Place
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9.14University of South Florida0.014.3%1st Place
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13.55San Diego State University-1.181.5%1st Place
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11.35University of North Carolina-0.462.4%1st Place
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11.23Washington College-0.552.5%1st Place
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9.35The Citadel-0.133.9%1st Place
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11.12University of Texas-0.522.1%1st Place
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10.71University of Virginia-0.522.8%1st Place
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8.58Texas A&M University0.105.0%1st Place
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11.58Hope College-0.771.9%1st Place
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14.12Arizona State University-1.411.1%1st Place
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12.67Michigan State University-0.971.2%1st Place
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18.31William and Mary-3.070.1%1st Place
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17.6University of Central Florida-2.680.2%1st Place
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16.73Florida Institute of Technology-2.350.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 19.1% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Slipper | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 10.1% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| May Proctor | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Reese Blackwell | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Fenner | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Henry Myrick | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Ingram | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Sligh | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 8.8% | 2.4% |
| Caden Meyers | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Meredith Timm | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 22.4% | 47.4% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 14.9% | 25.8% | 29.3% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 19.2% | 23.7% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.