← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington University0.71+3.47vs Predicted
-
2Florida Institute of Technology0.73+2.16vs Predicted
-
3University of Florida1.04+0.92vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida0.05+1.62vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University0.44-0.09vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University-0.34+0.58vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami0.58-2.43vs Predicted
-
8Rollins College0.09-2.18vs Predicted
-
9Rollins College-0.80-1.52vs Predicted
-
10Embry-Riddle University-0.80-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.47Washington University0.7114.2%1st Place
-
4.16Florida Institute of Technology0.7314.7%1st Place
-
3.92University of Florida1.0417.5%1st Place
-
5.62University of South Florida0.057.8%1st Place
-
4.91Jacksonville University0.4411.1%1st Place
-
6.58Florida State University-0.346.2%1st Place
-
4.57University of Miami0.5812.7%1st Place
-
5.82Rollins College0.097.6%1st Place
-
7.48Rollins College-0.804.1%1st Place
-
7.48Embry-Riddle University-0.804.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cameron Robinson | 14.2% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
Brendan Smucker | 14.7% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
Matthew Snyder | 17.5% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
Timothy Brustoski | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.4% |
Josh Becker | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
Michael Kaufman | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 15.3% |
Jonathan Gleason | 12.7% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
Jackson McGeough | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 7.4% |
Jason Goldsmith | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 20.0% | 29.0% |
Tanner Cummings | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 18.6% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.