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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+4.78vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.45+7.65vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.87+8.66vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.81vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.11+5.51vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.82-1.30vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.51-1.38vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.79+0.07vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.11-2.08vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-3.61vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College1.73+1.11vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.98-4.27vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia2.39-3.58vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo0.75+0.58vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76-3.14vs Predicted
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16Drexel University1.06-1.87vs Predicted
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17Monmouth University-0.09-0.49vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.35-8.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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9.65Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.66SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.51Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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4.7Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.07George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.92Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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12.11Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.73Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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14.58University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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11.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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14.13Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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16.51Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.56Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 1.8% |
| Michael Popp | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 14.6% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 4.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Craven | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Rory Mess | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 24.9% | 18.2% |
| Charles Skord | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 20.2% | 12.8% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 17.2% | 57.8% |
| Matthew Schofield | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.