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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+4.87vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.98+5.62vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.35+6.93vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.79+4.05vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.82vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.82-1.27vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.51-1.33vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.25-1.54vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-2.86vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia2.39-0.17vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.87+0.61vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.45-2.27vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College1.73-1.22vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.09+2.34vs Predicted
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15Drexel University1.06-0.96vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo0.75-1.05vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76-4.98vs Predicted
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18Hampton University2.11-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.62Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.93Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.05George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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4.73Old Dominion University3.820.2%1st Place
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5.67University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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6.46Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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11.61SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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9.73Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.78Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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16.34Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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14.04Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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14.95University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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12.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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10.43Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Daniel DelBello | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 15.4% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Arthur Libby | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Schippe | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Brogan Savage | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 54.2% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 20.1% | 12.2% |
| Rory Mess | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 27.2% | 21.0% |
| Charles Skord | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 3.7% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.