Race 10A

saisa-sp

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brendan Smucker 15.9% 15.8% 14.3% 13.1% 12.3% 10.4% 8.6% 5.6% 3.1% 0.9%
Matthew Snyder 18.2% 16.0% 14.4% 13.9% 11.2% 8.9% 8.5% 5.2% 2.9% 0.8%
Timothy Brustoski 7.3% 6.9% 9.1% 9.0% 10.2% 11.6% 13.2% 11.7% 13.1% 8.0%
Josh Becker 11.2% 12.6% 12.0% 11.5% 12.3% 11.1% 11.1% 9.8% 5.5% 2.9%
Cameron Robinson 13.7% 13.9% 12.7% 14.3% 11.9% 11.5% 8.7% 7.0% 4.5% 1.9%
Jonathan Gleason 13.5% 13.2% 13.5% 11.9% 11.9% 11.2% 9.2% 8.6% 4.9% 2.1%
Michael Kaufman 5.5% 5.7% 6.3% 6.9% 8.2% 10.2% 10.5% 14.8% 16.4% 15.5%
Jackson McGeough 7.0% 8.2% 8.3% 9.8% 10.3% 11.7% 12.0% 12.7% 12.2% 7.7%
Tanner Cummings 3.2% 3.6% 4.3% 4.9% 5.9% 6.3% 9.0% 11.4% 19.9% 31.4%
Jason Goldsmith 4.5% 4.1% 5.1% 4.7% 5.8% 7.1% 9.1% 13.2% 17.6% 28.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.